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U.S. appeals court rules against Kalshi, says states can regulate prediction markets

Friday, September 25, 2026 4:49 PM
Photo: Shutterstock
  • Reuters

A U.S. appeals court on Friday ​ruled against the prediction markets operator Kalshi, ‌saying Ohio and Tennessee can regulate its so-called event contracts under their gambling laws.

The decision by the 6th ​US Circuit Court of Appeals in Cincinnati deepens ​a split among federal appeals courts over ⁠whether states or the federal Commodity Futures Trading ​Commission has authority to regulate the fast-growing industry.

Kalshi ​did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

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Prediction markets are best known for letting people wager on the outcomes of ​sports events, though people can also wager ​on a wide variety of subjects including elections, the weather ‌and ⁠cultural events such as the Oscars.