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Fearing arson, U.S. senators call for crackdown on wildfire betting

Monday, August 10, 2026 1:55 PM
Photo: lone wolf7/Shutterstock.com
  • Roz Brown, Kiowa County Press

People who want to make an easy buck will wager a bet on just about anything. Now, some hope to profit by placing bets on when the next wildfire will occur and a group of lawmakers is alarmed.

Federal court wins by prediction platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi allow new gambling options — including parlays on wildfires — even as experts warned they could trigger arson. Senator Martin Heinrich, D-N.M., and five Democratic colleagues sent a letter last week to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission calling for a crackdown.

Matthew Hurteau, professor of biology at the University of New Mexico, has contributed to wildfire research.