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Ninth Circuit judges question Kalshi’s prediction market on tribal land

Sunday, July 19, 2026 2:17 PM
Photo: 9th Circuit court bu... flickr photo by Ron Coleman shared under a Creative Commons (BY-NC 2.0) license
  • Wilson Oke, PlayUSA

A three-judge panel of the US Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit signaled skepticism last week toward Kalshi’s argument that its sports event contracts — on its prediction market platform — can operate on tribal land without triggering federal Indian gaming law.

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The July 10 hearing in Blue Lake Rancheria v. Kalshi left the panel’s decision undetermined, with no timeline set for a ruling.

Three California tribes — Blue Lake Rancheria, Chicken Ranch Rancheria of Me-Wuk Indians and Picayune Rancheria of the Chukchansi Indians — are asking the appeals court to reverse a district court’s November decision denying their request to block Kalshi and Robinhood from offering sports contracts on their reservations while the underlying lawsuit proceeds.

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