President Trump’s fourth State of the Union is a betting bonanza for some gamblers.
Online prediction sites Kalshi and Polymarket are fielding millions of dollars in wagers on the speech, with prop bets covering everything from whom Trump will attack to how long he’ll talk in his Tuesday address to the nation.
Exactly 95% of bettors believe the president will say the word “China;” another 92% believe a mention of “Biden” will happen; and 93% of gamblers think he’ll say “America” and/or “American” more than 25 times.
If Trump does say China, a person who bet $1,000 on Kalshi that he would walks away with $1,06.
