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OPINION: AGA’s Bill Miller believes prediction markets undermine Utah’s gambling laws

October 30, 2026 · 4:05pm ET | 1:05pm PT
Photo: Bill Miller, President and CEO of the American Gaming Association/CDC Gaming
  • Bill Miller president and CEO of the American Gaming Association, Deseret News

Utahns have been crystal clear: gambling has no place in your state. Yet so-called “prediction market” platforms have engineered a backdoor into your communities. By rebranding sports bets as “event contracts” and “derivatives,” these platforms are mass-marketing sports betting as investing while claiming they are not subject to the laws and oversight that reflect Utah’s values.

Utahns know a sports bet when they see one. In fact, 79% of Utah voters say wagers offered by companies such as Kalshi and Polymarket are gambling — not investing. But what voters and policymakers may not realize is the quickly snowballing cost of this marketing deception: since 2025, “prediction markets” have already siphoned an estimated $1 billion in potential state gaming tax revenue across America.

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