On prediction markets, you can win money by forecasting the future: Who will be elected president in 2028? Which team will win the World Cup?
You can also now make money by predicting the past: Who will win the 50th season of “Survivor,” which is currently airing but was filmed last year?
Kalshi and Polymarket, the two largest prediction markets, are offering bets on reality television shows, including “Survivor,” “The Bachelorette” and “Top Chef,” which are usually taped months before they are broadcast. That means the people who know the outcomes — like contestants and production staff — could make surefire bets before the episodes air and win thousands of dollars.
